Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.052374 0.061040 0.070552 0.081747 0.094542 0.108690 0.125495
2025-04-06 0.038873 0.050073 0.063492 0.080678 0.102016 0.127546 0.160302
2025-04-13 0.029858 0.042069 0.057886 0.079696 0.108778 0.145986 0.196914
2025-04-20 0.025262 0.038523 0.056910 0.083934 0.122227 0.174061 0.248932
2025-04-27 0.021499 0.035241 0.055512 0.087057 0.134235 0.201335 0.302898
2025-05-04 0.017362 0.030515 0.051099 0.084916 0.138114 0.217334 0.342520
2025-05-11 0.014470 0.027132 0.048056 0.084177 0.143655 0.235952 0.387495
2025-05-18 0.011887 0.023732 0.044361 0.081693 0.145881 0.249409 0.425567
2025-05-25 0.009940 0.021063 0.041420 0.079923 0.148835 0.264005 0.466481
2025-06-01 0.008648 0.019367 0.039897 0.080327 0.155365 0.284853 0.519249
2025-06-08 0.007291 0.017266 0.037268 0.078276 0.157178 0.297690 0.559423
2025-06-15 0.006778 0.016831 0.037784 0.082214 0.170299 0.331307 0.638363
2025-06-22 0.005983 0.015647 0.036659 0.082872 0.177492 0.355336 0.703116
2025-06-29 0.005087 0.014050 0.034415 0.080932 0.179387 0.369799 0.751789
2025-07-06 0.004368 0.012727 0.032547 0.079503 0.182097 0.385983 0.805039
2025-07-13 0.004102 0.012497 0.033122 0.083486 0.196442 0.425969 0.907133
2025-07-20 0.003798 0.012103 0.033250 0.086461 0.208934 0.463322 1.007046
2025-07-27 0.003256 0.010929 0.031278 0.084265 0.209849 0.477222 1.061272
2025-08-03 0.002860 0.010081 0.029983 0.083495 0.213832 0.497751 1.130528
2025-08-10 0.002446 0.009079 0.028109 0.081011 0.213545 0.509125 1.181579
2025-08-17 0.002118 0.008267 0.026607 0.079246 0.214718 0.523681 1.240404
2025-08-24 0.001907 0.007790 0.025964 0.079642 0.221144 0.550333 1.327248
2025-08-31 0.001648 0.007077 0.024502 0.077604 0.221273 0.562738 1.383686